Fact-based, continuously updated financial insight before you decide —
turn the shift in the business cycle into your advantage

ConBRIX gives the decision-maker in a construction business — the manager, the project manager, the estimator — the view of the economy that a CFO would normally bring to the table, without having to know the economy in depth or follow it every day yourself.

  • Each time a new economic indicator is published, you see how the business cycle is changing and what it means for your company's or project's costs and decisions — and whether your timing turns into an advantage or a loss.
  • The system runs in real time and is updated every day — new data, news and forecasts reach you without you having to do anything.
  • The numbers rest on a research-based, verifiable rule base.
  • AI helps you reason through how the changes affect the outcome of your decisions over the next 48 months.

The decision is still yours — but now you have a personal financial analyst.

AnalyticalVerifiableCalm
Client area
News · last 14 days
4 Nov 2026 · European Central Bank · wages ECB wage tracker suggests slightly higher wage growth in first three quarters of 2027 compared with the full year of 2026
ConBRIX interpretationAnticipated wage growth acceleration in 2027 may raise the average gross wage, change per year.
6 Nov 2026 · Statistics Estonia · inflation Consumer price index rose 4.2% in October
ConBRIX interpretationThe rise in consumer price change may increase pressure on construction costs and material expenses for general contractors and materials suppliers.
30 Oct 2026 · European Central Bank · interest Decisions taken by the Governing Council of the ECB (in addition to decisions setting interest rates)
ConBRIX interpretationIn ConBRIX's reading the news does not change the direction of interest.
How ConBRIX processes this

ConBRIX links only evidence-based facts to the ConBRIX algorithms. The forecast changes only when the outcome is proven, keeping emotion and marketing news out of the system.

Where the cycle stands
ConBRIX forecast
Phase of the ConBRIX construction cycle
Peak

Peak: volume is at its highest above trend and growth has stalled. A fixed-price contract taken at the peak carries the fastest input-price growth.

As ofQ2 2026
Demand over 24 months+12 mo −2.0 % · +24 mo −6.5 %
ConBRIX analysis2.20.8
Demand is falling
−8.4 %over 24 months
Cycle turns: decline begins · Q1 2027
ConBRIX forecast
NOW ConBRIX forecast period · 48 months months 25–48: trend
TroughRisePeakDecline
The data in numbers
Updates in the last 90 days
12,180
new firm-level data rows
45
macro time series · 6 countries · last updated 10.11 5.32
684
forecast rows frozen
Data in the system
7,302
companies in the role panel
38,995
firm-years
131,319
firm-quarters
Research-based rule base
89
deterministic rules
255
documented parameters and thresholds
3,379
automated tests

as of 3 Nov 2026

What ConBRIX tells you about your contract
01

How much can costs change?

You see the possible change in the cost of materials, labour and other inputs over the forecast period, with a lower and an upper bound.

02

Is the business cycle turning?

You see in which period the risk of a change in workload or input prices is greatest. On that basis you decide whether it is time to take on more work or less.

03

Can the number be justified?

Behind every figure there is a visible source: which indicator moved it and by how much. You can justify the estimate to the client, the board or the bank.

04

How certain is the estimate?

When data are scarce or the market is unclear, ConBRIX says so plainly and gives the reason. You know how far to rely on the estimate.

How it works

Three steps to a fact-based decision

The indicators come from the system, the range from the model, the decision from you.

Market overview · Roles in the cycle · Your company · Contract partner — tailored to your company's role in the value chain and your role in the process.

  1. Get the latest economic indicators straight away Macro and input-price indicators are together in one system, kept up to date and referenced to their source.
  2. See the calculated range From where the cycle stands, the model calculates a range — expected and adverse — and shows what differs between the two assumptions.
  3. Decide based on your own company Choose the indicators that matter to your company and project. You get a range and the reasoning for contract negotiations or a bid decision.

The rule base calculates, AI explains

The numbers come from a documented rule base. AI puts the result into words and answers in the chat. The figures in every answer are checked against the rule base before they are shown.

Our reasoning, your decision

ConBRIX gives the size and timing of the risk — the facts a decision rests on. You decide; no one guarantees the outcome, but the reasoning is documented.

What it is based on

Estonian public statistics, Business Register data, macroeconomic indicators for Estonia and the euro area, and market expectations — energy, oil and interest-rate futures. Everything is updated as new data are published; every view shows the date of its data. The ConBRIX analysis is research-based and its logic is documented.